ATLANTA — A well-known pollster and staunch supporter of former President Donald Trump has expressed serious concerns about the Republican Party’s chances in Georgia. Matt Towery, who gained recognition for accurately predicting Trump’s 2016 victory, outlined troubling trends in the state’s recent election turnout during an appearance on “Hannity.”
Towery’s stark warning comes as Georgia experiences a historic shift in voter engagement. In the May 2026 primary, over 1.1 million Democratic ballots were cast, surpassing the approximately 941,000 Republican ballots. This marked the first instance since 2006 that Democrats outpaced Republicans in a gubernatorial primary, according to the Georgia Secretary of State’s office. The development has raised alarm bells about the GOP’s ability to mobilize supporters ahead of the crucial midterm elections.
“Republican turnout is my primary concern,” Towery stated. His remarks foreshadow challenges ahead for the party, especially in light of the upcoming elections where all 14 U.S. House seats, currently divided between nine Republicans and five Democrats, will be contested. Additionally, incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff is gearing up for a re-election bid, likely facing off against Republican candidates Rep. Mike Collins or former NFL coach Derek Dooley, who are set for a runoff.
Towery’s sentiments were echoed by outgoing Governor Brian Kemp, who acknowledged his worries about the electorate’s indecisiveness. “I’m definitely concerned,” Kemp told reporters, noting that many voters appear uncertain about their choices for Senate and other key positions.
At a national level, the Republican Party is grappling with broader challenges. Recent polling has indicated that Democrats lead Republicans by 11 percentage points in the generic congressional ballot among registered voters. Public sentiment has also soured regarding Trump’s responses to critical issues, including the economy and foreign policy. Notably, a May survey revealed that even a slight majority of Republicans disapproved of Trump’s management of inflation, signaling discontent among his traditional support base.
Towery’s historic alignment with Trump underscores the gravity of his latest cautionary message. He has long been a vocal advocate for Trump’s political pursuits and correctly anticipated both his initial and late comeback to the presidency. Yet now, Towery urges immediate action to rebuild the party’s image and bolster voter turnout, emphasizing that delayed responses could have devastating effects in the lead-up to November.
Despite Trump’s continued influence within the GOP, where he has successfully maneuvered against internal critics, strategists warn that securing primary victories does not ensure success in the general election. The growing phenomenon known as “Trump Disappointment Syndrome” presents an acute threat, with many voters expressing disillusionment over the current political landscape.
As the clock ticks down to the election, Towery’s message is clear: Republicans must urgently address their turnout issues in Georgia. His once-optimistic forecasts have dramatically shifted, and the data suggests that the party’s time to react may already be running low.